Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000538 0.000612 0.000691 0.000781 0.000879 0.000984 0.001105
2026-02-08 0.000406 0.000506 0.000618 0.000755 0.000915 0.001096 0.001315
2026-02-15 0.000333 0.000442 0.000571 0.000734 0.000934 0.001168 0.001460
2026-02-22 0.000286 0.000401 0.000543 0.000730 0.000967 0.001252 0.001618
2026-03-01 0.000251 0.000370 0.000523 0.000730 0.001000 0.001334 0.001774
2026-03-08 0.000219 0.000339 0.000498 0.000722 0.001020 0.001397 0.001905
2026-03-15 0.000191 0.000310 0.000474 0.000710 0.001033 0.001451 0.002023
2026-03-22 0.000178 0.000301 0.000474 0.000730 0.001088 0.001559 0.002214
2026-03-29 0.000164 0.000288 0.000469 0.000742 0.001130 0.001651 0.002386
2026-04-05 0.000147 0.000268 0.000451 0.000733 0.001144 0.001704 0.002507
2026-04-12 0.000131 0.000249 0.000433 0.000723 0.001154 0.001751 0.002619
2026-04-19 0.000121 0.000239 0.000427 0.000731 0.001188 0.001832 0.002779
2026-04-26 0.000111 0.000228 0.000418 0.000733 0.001216 0.001905 0.002930
2026-05-03 0.000096 0.000207 0.000393 0.000708 0.001202 0.001918 0.002998
2026-05-10 0.000084 0.000190 0.000372 0.000689 0.001194 0.001938 0.003075
2026-05-17 0.000076 0.000179 0.000362 0.000685 0.001210 0.001993 0.003203
2026-05-24 0.000070 0.000170 0.000354 0.000685 0.001231 0.002055 0.003343
2026-05-31 0.000063 0.000160 0.000342 0.000676 0.001238 0.002097 0.003453
2026-06-07 0.000056 0.000149 0.000328 0.000665 0.001240 0.002130 0.003551
2026-06-14 0.000054 0.000147 0.000332 0.000685 0.001292 0.002241 0.003767
2026-06-21 0.000051 0.000144 0.000332 0.000696 0.001331 0.002332 0.003954
2026-06-28 0.000046 0.000135 0.000321 0.000688 0.001337 0.002373 0.004066
2026-07-05 0.000041 0.000127 0.000310 0.000678 0.001340 0.002408 0.004169